EURO 2012 Tiebreakers:Portugal’s New Life, Oranje On Life Support In ‘Group Of Death’

After what happened in Group A today one can’t ask for more.The action continues tomorrow in the Group Of Death and only a miracle (plus Germany’s help) can see Oranje qualify for the next round.Like the telenovela El Cuerpo del Deseo (Second Chance),Varela gave Portugal a new Life.The Dutch also have to thank him as he’s put them on life support.The Dutch have to score at least 2 goals (goal difference of two) against Portugal and pray that the Germans beat Olsen’s gang.

Just have a look at these permutations.

Day begins:

The Group B table  looks like this:

Teams P W D L F A +/- Pts
Germany Germany 2 2 0 0 3 1 2 6
Portugal Portugal 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
Denmark Denmark 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
Netherlands Netherlands 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0

Need for head to head, Portugal go though since they beat Denmark if you compare results between the two teams.

 

Let’s say:Game ends.Both teams draw 1-1.

Add one match,one goal and one point for each team.

Teams P W D L F A +/- Pts
Germany Germany 3 2 1 0 4 2 2 7
Portugal Portugal 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
Denmark Denmark 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
Netherlands Netherlands 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
Head to head rule, Portugal go though since they beat Denmark.

 

If it ends:

Netherlands 1 Portugal o

Germany 1 Denmark 0

This changes the table. Netherlands get 3 points.But the is a BIG BUT…

Teams P W D L F A +/- Pts
Germany Germany 3 3 0 0 4 1 2 6
Portugal Portugal 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
Denmark Denmark 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
Netherlands Netherlands 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3

It is a three-way tiebreaker, because three teams are on 3 points. Head-to-head records are  considered first before the issue of goal difference comes in mind.Let’s have a table concerning only these three teams, and ignore their results against Die Manschafft.

Teams P W D L F A +/- Pts
Portugal Portugal 2 1 0 1 3 3  0 3
Denmark Denmark 2 1 0 1 3 3  0 3
Netherlands Netherlands 2 1 0 1 1 1 -1 3

Netherlands may be beating Portugal, but Portugal are top on the strength of their big win vs Denmark and Netherlands lesser goal difference.

Now

If it ends:

Netherlands 2 Portugal o

Teams P W D L F A +/- Pts
 Netherlands Netherlands  2 1  0 1  2  1  1  3
Denmark Denmark 2 1 0 1 3 3  0 3
Portugal Portugal 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3

Netherlands are now ahead of the other two since they have a better head to head and goal difference than Portugal.


Klaas-Jan Huntelaar and co. should start finding the back of the net if they want to repeat the Dutch’s 1988 success story.

 

(@NOKA88)

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